Herrestads 4-0 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.02
-16% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
293 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 2-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
13.09.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
17.05.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 2-0 HT 1-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
26.08.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
06.05.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
4-0
AWAY Ahlafors IF
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads swept aside Ahlafors IF 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Herrestads had 62% of the ball to Ahlafors IF's 38%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Herrestads and 1.40 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Ahlafors IF?

Herrestads 4-0 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 46%, draw 24%, Ahlafors IF 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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