Ahlafors IF 2-1 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.38
Over 2.5
68%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
38%
-6.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
62%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.63/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.54
+93% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Herrestads
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 2-0 HT 1-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
26.08.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
06.05.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahlafors IF
2-1
AWAY Herrestads
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF nicked a narrow win over Herrestads 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Ahlafors IF had 59% of the ball to Herrestads's 41%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ahlafors IF and 1.00 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Herrestads?

Ahlafors IF 2-1 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 46%, draw 23%, Herrestads 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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