FK Karlskrona 4-1 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.60/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.62
+14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
414 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Karlshamn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.05.2024 Karlshamn 2-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
04.08.2021 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 4-0 HT 2-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
09.06.2021 Karlshamn 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona swept aside Karlshamn 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karlshamn led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Karlskrona and 1.33 for Karlshamn.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Karlshamn?

FK Karlskrona 4-1 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 55%, draw 23%, Karlshamn 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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