Karlshamn 2-1 FK Karlskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.46/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.69
+14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +51%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Karlskrona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
04.08.2021 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 4-0 HT 2-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
09.06.2021 Karlshamn 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs FK Karlskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn edged past FK Karlskrona 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Karlskrona at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karlshamn and 2.50 for FK Karlskrona.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs FK Karlskrona?

Karlshamn 2-1 FK Karlskrona in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs FK Karlskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 27%, draw 22%, FK Karlskrona 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Karlskrona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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