Lindome GIF 3-3 Vastra Frolunda IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lindome GIF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
2.01/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.30
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lindome GIF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.10.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 3-2 HT 3-2 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
22.06.2023 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF 3-1 HT 2-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lindome GIF
3-3
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lindome GIF vs Vastra Frolunda IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lindome GIF and Vastra Frolunda IF shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Lindome GIF had 38% of the ball to Vastra Frolunda IF's 62%, shots finished 11-23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lindome GIF and 2.00 for Vastra Frolunda IF.

What was the final score of Lindome GIF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Lindome GIF 3-3 Vastra Frolunda IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lindome GIF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lindome GIF 37%, draw 24%, Vastra Frolunda IF 38%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ BTTS Yes
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