17/05/2024
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Kongahalla vs Vanersborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
26%
Draw
21%
30%
Away Win
20%
44%
Under 2.5
41%
56%
Over 2.5
59%
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
42%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kongahalla v Vanersborgs IF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kongahalla
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vanersborgs IF
EU Bookmakers 23%
+31% /
+31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+64% /
+64%
2.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.51/1.00
-13%
/
+15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+102%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
455 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kongahalla vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kongahalla cruised past Vanersborgs IF 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kongahalla as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Kongahalla vs Vanersborgs IF?
Kongahalla 3-0 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kongahalla vs Vanersborgs IF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kongahalla 44%, draw 26%, Vanersborgs IF 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongahalla), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kongahalla)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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