Vanersborgs FK 1-2 IFK Skövde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.49
No
54%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
63%
-17.1pp
54%
BTTS No
37%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Skövde EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.34/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.23/1.13
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1W-0D-3L
AWAY IFK Skövde
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.09.2023 IFK Skövde IFK Skövde 2-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
05.05.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-3 HT 2-3 IFK Skövde IFK Skövde İSÇ4
15.09.2021 IFK Skövde IFK Skövde 6-0 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
07.08.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Skövde IFK Skövde İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Skövde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Skövde nicked a narrow win over Vanersborgs FK 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Skövde as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Skövde led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 2.75 for IFK Skövde.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Skövde?

Vanersborgs FK 1-2 IFK Skövde in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Skövde?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Skövde win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 32%, draw 23%, IFK Skövde 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Skövde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Skövde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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