Herrestads 2-0 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.51/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.47
-17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
06.05.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads got the better of Ahlafors IF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Herrestads and 1.50 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Ahlafors IF?

Herrestads 2-0 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 43%, draw 26%, Ahlafors IF 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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