Granada 5-2 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.74
Over
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.77
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.99
6+
9%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.48
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
18%
4.19
X/2
9%
8.2
X/X
8%
4.59
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.85
2/X
8%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.16
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.4 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
5-2
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.02 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
245 Passes 349
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Granada vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada cruised past Real Sociedad II 5-2. Half-time: 5-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Granada had 44% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 56%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Granada vs Real Sociedad II?

Granada 5-2 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Granada 51%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad II 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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