Fiorentina U20 1-1 Hellas Verona U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.2pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.72/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.88
+58% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +71%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Hellas Verona U20 Hellas Verona U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
26.08.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 4-1 HT 2-1 Hellas Verona U20 Hellas Verona U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Hellas Verona U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 and Hellas Verona U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 1.00 for Hellas Verona U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Hellas Verona U20?

Fiorentina U20 1-1 Hellas Verona U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Hellas Verona U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 41%, draw 20%, Hellas Verona U20 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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