Inter 4-1 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 Oct 2025

Inter
4-1 HT 2-0
Cremonese
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Inter vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over
53%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
23%
4.44
2-3
41%
1.88
4-5
26%
2.81
6+
10%
7.87
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.44 — our 23% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.32
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
29.0
X/1 ✗
31%
3.64
X/2
3%
30.5
X/X
7%
8.86
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
3%
30.0
2/X
3%
35.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.64 — our 31% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Inter v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese The Market 9%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.11/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.79
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +24%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
523 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
25.0 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Inter vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cremonese
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.31 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
460 Passes 290
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
30.08.2022 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 2-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTA

Inter 4-1 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
4-1
AWAY Cremonese
3.57 xG 0.64
66% Ball Possession 34%
27 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
525 Passes 243
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
46 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Inter vs Cremonese
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter cruised past Cremonese 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.50, about 67%.

Under the surface, possession split 66% to 34% in Inter's favour, shots finished 27-3, expected goals 3.57 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Inter against 1.00 for Cremonese.

Inter vs Cremonese Result & Final Score

Inter 4-1 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie A on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Cremonese Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Inter 75%, draw 17%, Cremonese 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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