Atalanta 1-1 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 Oct 2025

Atalanta
1-1 HT 1-1
Como
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Atalanta vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.97
Over
46%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
31%
3.57
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.21
6+
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.57 — our 31% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.05
X/1
14%
5.19
X/2
9%
7.15
X/X
15%
4.72
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
13%
4.91
2/X
8%
12.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Atalanta v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Como The Market 32%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.57/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.73
+22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.1 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Atalanta vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Como
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.96 xG 0.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 398
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Como Como 1-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
10.04.2004 Como Como 0-3 HT 0-2 Atalanta Atalanta İTB
16.11.2003 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 0-1 Como Como İTB
17.05.2003 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 0-1 Como Como İTA
12.01.2003 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Atalanta 1-1 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
1-1
AWAY Como
1.40 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
391 Passes 389
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Atalanta vs Como
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Atalanta and Como with a point apiece.

We leaned Atalanta at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.61, roughly 62%.

On the day, possession split 50% to 50% in Atalanta's favour, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.40 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Atalanta against 0.80 for Como.

Atalanta vs Como Result & Final Score

Atalanta 1-1 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atalanta vs Como Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 42%, draw 30%, Como 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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