Como 1-2 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Jan 2025

Como
1-2 HT 1-0
Atalanta
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Como vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.05
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
12%
8.2
X/2
19%
4.65
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.5
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Como v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.15/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.02
+13% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
15.5 Crosses 18.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Como vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Atalanta
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
10.04.2004 Como Como 0-3 HT 0-2 Atalanta Atalanta İTB
16.11.2003 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 0-1 Como Como İTB
17.05.2003 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 0-1 Como Como İTA
12.01.2003 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Como 1-2 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1-2
AWAY Atalanta
0.77 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
398 Passes 327
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Como vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta edged past Como 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Como had 54% of the ball to Atalanta's 46%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.77 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Como and 2.00 for Atalanta.

What was the final score of Como vs Atalanta?

Como 1-2 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Atalanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Como 30%, draw 23%, Atalanta 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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