Empoli 1-1 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.04
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
8%
7.25
X/2
17%
4.48
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.89
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.91/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.15
-3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
15.4 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bologna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.75
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
204 Passes 464
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
15.03.2024 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
01.10.2023 Bologna Bologna 3-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
04.05.2023 Empoli Empoli 3-1 HT 2-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
17.09.2022 Bologna Bologna 0-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.02.2022 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-1
AWAY Bologna
0.57 xG 0.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
156 Passes 337
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Bologna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Empoli had 36% of the ball to Bologna's 64%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.57 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Empoli and 1.00 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Bologna?

Empoli 1-1 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Empoli 29%, draw 27%, Bologna 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bologna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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