Bologna vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
3-1
HT 2-0
Bologna
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
4-2
HT 2-1
Bologna
İTA
Bologna 1-1 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna and Empoli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Bologna had 68% of the ball to Empoli's 32%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.36 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bologna and 1.33 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Empoli?
Bologna 1-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bologna 51%, draw 24%, Empoli 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.