Lecce vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lecce v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Lecce vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Lecce
İTA
2-2
HT 0-1
Cagliari
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Lecce
İTA
0-2
HT 0-2
Cagliari
İTA
Lecce 1-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Lecce squeezed past Cagliari 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lecce as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Lecce had 35% of the ball to Cagliari's 65%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.70 to 1.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lecce and 1.17 for Cagliari.
What was the final score of Lecce vs Cagliari?
Lecce 1-0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lecce vs Cagliari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lecce 41%, draw 27%, Cagliari 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.