Napoli vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli v Parma — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Parma
İTA
0-2
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Napoli
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Parma
İTA
0-4
HT 0-2
Napoli
İTA
3-0
HT 1-0
Parma
İTA
Napoli 2-1 Parma — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli squeezed past Parma 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Napoli had 54% of the ball to Parma's 46%, shots finished 29-13, expected goals 2.19 to 1.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Napoli and 0.67 for Parma.
What was the final score of Napoli vs Parma?
Napoli 2-1 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli vs Parma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Napoli 51%, draw 26%, Parma 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.