Napoli 2-1 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Jan 2025

Napoli
2-1 HT 0-1
Juventus
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.33
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
15%
6.4
X/X
18%
3.52
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
8%
4.86
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napoli v Juventus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.59/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
+28% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.8 Crosses 12.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Napoli vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 1.03
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
496 Passes 328
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
03.03.2024 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
08.12.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
23.04.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
13.01.2023 Napoli Napoli 5-1 HT 2-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
06.01.2022 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA

Napoli 2-1 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2-1
AWAY Juventus
2.37 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
353 Passes 376
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli edged past Juventus 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Napoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napoli had 49% of the ball to Juventus's 51%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.37 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Napoli's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Napoli and 0.67 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Juventus?

Napoli 2-1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napoli 39%, draw 32%, Juventus 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5
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