Napoli vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
5-1
HT 2-1
Juventus
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Napoli
İTA
2-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Napoli
İTA
Napoli 2-1 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli edged past Juventus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Napoli made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Napoli had 71% of the ball to Juventus's 29%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 2.11 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Napoli and 1.00 for Juventus.
What was the final score of Napoli vs Juventus?
Napoli 2-1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli vs Juventus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Napoli 38%, draw 28%, Juventus 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.