Empoli vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Cagliari
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Cagliari
İTA
3-2
HT 3-0
Empoli
İTA
Empoli 0-1 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari edged past Empoli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Empoli had 56% of the ball to Cagliari's 44%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.46 to 0.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Empoli.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Empoli and 1.00 for Cagliari.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Cagliari?
Empoli 0-1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Cagliari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Empoli 41%, draw 26%, Cagliari 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Empoli) went the other way.