Ingolstadt 4-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over Pick
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.48
No
38%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.79
2-3
42%
1.96
4-5
29%
2.88
6+
11%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.35
1/2
3%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.77
X/2
12%
6.21
X/X
13%
5.62
2/1
3%
23.55
2/2
22%
3.76
2/X
5%
12.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ingolstadt The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.56 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.76
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 1-1 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 HAZ
24.02.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 0-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.09.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-0 HT 2-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
4 - 1
AWAY Ulm 1846
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
329 Passes 282
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ingolstadt vs Ulm 1846
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ingolstadt made light work of Ulm 1846 4-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

From a near-even 39% / 24% / 37% read, it was Ingolstadt who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Ingolstadt had 52% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 48%, shots finished 20-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ingolstadt and 0.33 for Ulm 1846.

Ingolstadt vs Ulm 1846 Result & Final Score

Ingolstadt 4 - 1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ingolstadt vs Ulm 1846 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 39%, draw 24%, Ulm 1846 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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