Mechelen 1-3 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Oct 2025

Mechelen
1-3 HT 1-0
St. Truidense
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Mechelen vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.05
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.1
X/2
9%
6.7
X/X
15%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.77/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.39
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.8 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mechelen vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY St. Truidense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
414 Passes 438
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
08.11.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
12.05.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 2-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
05.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-3 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
03.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-2 HT 0-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
17.09.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense saw off Mechelen 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mechelen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mechelen and 2.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs St. Truidense?

Mechelen 1-3 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 46%, draw 26%, St. Truidense 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mechelen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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