St. Truidense 2-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
6.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.92
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.29
X/2
11%
6.78
X/X
11%
5.61
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.13
2/X
5%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.72/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.68
+14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.5 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
393 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-3 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
03.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-2 HT 0-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
17.09.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
11.03.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.08.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-1 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
04.03.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense squeezed past Mechelen 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Truidense and 0.83 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Mechelen?

St. Truidense 2-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 43%, draw 25%, Mechelen 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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