Gent vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gent v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals
Gent vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
OH Leuven
BEL
1-1
HT 1-1
Gent
BEL
2-0
HT 0-0
OH Leuven
BEL
1-1
HT 0-1
Gent
BEL
5-0
HT 1-0
OH Leuven
BEL
Gent 0-1 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics
OH Leuven edged past Gent 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gent at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gent had 69% of the ball to OH Leuven's 31%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.88 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gent.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gent and 0.67 for OH Leuven.
What was the final score of Gent vs OH Leuven?
Gent 0-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gent vs OH Leuven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gent 58%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.