OH Leuven 2-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.55
1/2
8%
20.8
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
11%
10.55
X/2
11%
4.0
X/X
12%
6.07
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.01
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.35/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.90
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
15.0 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gent
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 1.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
268 Passes 379
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Gent Gent 4-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.09.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
19.02.2023 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.10.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
10.04.2022 Gent Gent 5-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
04.12.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
2-1
AWAY Gent
0.88 xG 2.21
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
233 Passes 448
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven edged past Gent 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 37% of the ball to Gent's 63%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.88 to 2.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gent.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for OH Leuven and 2.33 for Gent.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Gent?

OH Leuven 2-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 28%, draw 25%, Gent 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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