Kortrijk 1-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.48
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.98
X/2
11%
4.9
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.39
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.46/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.38
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.5 Crosses 19.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
319 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.09.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
04.03.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
18.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-2 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
25.01.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
02.10.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.78 xG 1.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
245 Passes 409
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi nicked a narrow win over Kortrijk 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sporting Charleroi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 41% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 59%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.78 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kortrijk and 1.17 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?

Kortrijk 1-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 33%, draw 29%, Sporting Charleroi 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi)
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