İspanya U20 1-0 Brezilya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
29%
Away Win
37%
-8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya U20 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya U20 EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+65% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 81%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya U20
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Brezilya U20
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.08.2011 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 1-1 HT 1-0 İspanya U20 İspanya U20 DK20
12.07.2007 İspanya U20 İspanya U20 2-2 HT 1-2 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 DK20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya U20
1-0
AWAY Brezilya U20
1.01 xG 1.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
342 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İspanya U20 vs Brezilya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U20 nicked a narrow win over Brezilya U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; İspanya U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İspanya U20 had 55% of the ball to Brezilya U20's 45%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.01 to 1.84 — on chances, Brezilya U20 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İspanya U20 and 1.50 for Brezilya U20.

What was the final score of İspanya U20 vs Brezilya U20?

İspanya U20 1-0 Brezilya U20 in the World Cup U20 on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya U20 vs Brezilya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İspanya U20 39%, draw 32%, Brezilya U20 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U20), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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