Meksika U20 1-0 Fas U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.95
Over 2.5
38%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.33
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 32% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika U20 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas U20 EU Bookmakers 20%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
0.45/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-78% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +58%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika U20
1-0
AWAY Fas U20
1.55 xG 0.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
368 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meksika U20 vs Fas U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika U20 edged past Fas U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meksika U20 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Meksika U20 had 57% of the ball to Fas U20's 43%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.55 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Meksika U20 vs Fas U20?

Meksika U20 1-0 Fas U20 in the World Cup U20 on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika U20 vs Fas U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Meksika U20 56%, draw 27%, Fas U20 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika U20), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meksika U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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