Orijent 1919 1-0 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.96/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.09
+22% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orijent 1919
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Jarun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 0-2 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
12.10.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 1-1 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
01.06.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orijent 1919
1-0
AWAY Jarun
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orijent 1919 nicked a narrow win over Jarun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orijent 1919 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Orijent 1919 had 60% of the ball to Jarun's 40%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orijent 1919 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orijent 1919 and 0.67 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs Jarun?

Orijent 1919 1-0 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 57%, draw 26%, Jarun 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orijent 1919), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orijent 1919) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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