Limavady United 1-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

Limavady United
1-0 HT 0-0
Loughgall FC
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Limavady United vs Loughgall FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.45
6+ Goals
6%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 34% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Limavady United v Loughgall FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.71/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.77
-61% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.1
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United edged past Loughgall FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Limavady United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Loughgall FC?

Limavady United 1-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 35%, draw 29%, Loughgall FC 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Loughgall FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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