Newington Youth 0-3 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
2.36/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.01
+25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ards FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
02.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
27.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
02.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.08.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC ran out comfortable winners over Newington Youth 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newington Youth at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newington Youth and 1.00 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Newington Youth 0-3 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 50%, draw 25%, Ards FC 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Newington Youth), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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