Ards FC 1-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.77/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.23
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
02.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.08.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
10.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.11.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ards FC
1-1
AWAY Newington Youth
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Newington Youth shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 22% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ards FC had 53% of the ball to Newington Youth's 47%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ards FC and 2.20 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Newington Youth?

Ards FC 1-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 36%, draw 22%, Newington Youth 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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