Ballinamallard United 2-0 Dergview FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-15.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dergview FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -8%
2.37/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.23
+10% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dergview FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2024 Dergview FC Dergview FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
26.12.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
12.08.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-2 HT 1-1 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
18.04.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
26.12.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 2-0 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
23.08.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Dergview FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United saw off Dergview FC 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dergview FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.00 for Dergview FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Dergview FC?

Ballinamallard United 2-0 Dergview FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Dergview FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 45%, draw 28%, Dergview FC 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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