Newington Youth 2-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.4pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 53%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.36/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/1.92
-73% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
27.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
02.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.08.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
10.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.11.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth and Ards FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newington Youth and 1.00 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Newington Youth 2-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 24%, draw 28%, Ards FC 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ards FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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