Limavady United 3-2 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 25% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 31%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.34/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.06
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Limavady United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dundela
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Limavady United Limavady United 2-0 Dundela Dundela KILK
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United squeezed past Dundela 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Dundela?

Limavady United 3-2 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 45%, draw 23%, Dundela 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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