Armagh City 3-2 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

Armagh City
3-2
Ballinamallard United
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.04
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
16%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Armagh City v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.79
+65% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
393 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City nicked a narrow win over Ballinamallard United 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Armagh City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United?

Armagh City 3-2 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 38%, draw 23%, Ballinamallard United 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballinamallard United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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