Ballinamallard United 1-3 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Ballinamallard United
1-3
Armagh City
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Armagh City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.10/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.55
+3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City saw off Ballinamallard United 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ballinamallard United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?

Ballinamallard United 1-3 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 44%, draw 25%, Armagh City 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballinamallard United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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