Newington Youth 1-1 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.39
No
53%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
6.16
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
23%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
68%
-21.2pp
53%
BTTS No
32%
+21.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.28/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Dundela
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Dundela Dundela 4-2 HT 2-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
05.09.2023 Dundela Dundela 3-0 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRLCAS
11.02.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-3 HT 1-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
25.11.2022 Dundela Dundela 3-4 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
01.10.2022 Dundela Dundela 2-1 HT 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth and Dundela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dundela led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Newington Youth and 3.00 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Dundela?

Newington Youth 1-1 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 38%, draw 24%, Dundela 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
28 Sep 2024
00:00 Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City Analysis →
17:00 Ballyclare Comrades vs Bangor FC Analysis →
17:00 Annagh United vs Limavady United Analysis →
17:00 Ards FC vs Institute FC Analysis →
17:00 Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC Analysis →