Ards FC 0-0 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.50/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.60
-25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Institute FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRK
27.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
22.12.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
28.01.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
03.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Institute FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ards FC and 1.83 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Institute FC?

Ards FC 0-0 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 37%, draw 28%, Institute FC 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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