Ards FC 1-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
8%
7.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 25% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 22%
-22% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.87/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.41
-8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
27.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
02.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.08.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
10.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Newington Youth shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ards FC and 2.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Newington Youth?

Ards FC 1-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 48%, draw 24%, Newington Youth 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ BTTS No
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