Umm Salal 3-1 Al Sailiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over Pick
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.48
2-3
37%
1.88
4-5
27%
2.71
6+
11%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sailiya The Market 33%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.65/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.52
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Sailiya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 1.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya KAT
13.02.2023 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya 1-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
14.10.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya KATYK
24.08.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya KAT
19.02.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya KAT
31.10.2021 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
3-1
AWAY Al Sailiya
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
REVIEW Umm Salal vs Al Sailiya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Umm Salal saw off Al Sailiya 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Umm Salal's favour, shots finished 24-13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Umm Salal against 0.67 for Al Sailiya.

Umm Salal vs Al Sailiya Result & Final Score

Umm Salal 3-1 Al Sailiya in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Umm Salal vs Al Sailiya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 43%, draw 23%, Al Sailiya 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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