Umm Salal vs Al Sailiya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Sailiya — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Sailiya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KAT
1-1
HT 1-1
Al Sailiya
KATYK
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Sailiya
KAT
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Sailiya
KAT
0-0
HT 0-0
Umm Salal
KAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Sailiya
KAT
Umm Salal 2-1 Al Sailiya — Actual Match Statistics
Umm Salal squeezed past Al Sailiya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Umm Salal had 45% of the ball to Al Sailiya's 55%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 2.07 to 3.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Sailiya.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Umm Salal and 0.50 for Al Sailiya.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Sailiya?
Umm Salal 2-1 Al Sailiya in the Qatar League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Sailiya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 41%, draw 27%, Al Sailiya 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.