Al Ahli 0-3 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.21/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.06
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
255 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 85%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
10.0 Crosses 19.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.86 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
10.11.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 3-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
26.10.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
02.12.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
13.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
23.08.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan cruised past Al Ahli 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli and 2.17 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan?

Al Ahli 0-3 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 24%, draw 21%, Al Rayyan 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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