Riga Mariners 3-3 Augsdaugava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.18
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
5%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.9
No
40%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
2%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
80%
+0.6pp
14%
Draw
11%
+3.0pp
5%
Away Win
8%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.2pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.51/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.26
-44% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs Augsdaugava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners and Augsdaugava couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga Mariners at 81% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs Augsdaugava?

Riga Mariners 3-3 Augsdaugava in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs Augsdaugava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 81%, draw 14%, Augsdaugava 5%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Riga Mariners) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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