Riga FC II 7-2 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.64
Draw
13%
4.08
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
57%
+13.3pp
13%
Draw
21%
-8.5pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 25%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.98/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/3.89
-11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC II
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
4.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
25.05.2025 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 HT 1-1 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
06.07.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-4 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
07.10.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 11-2 HT 4-1 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
03.06.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
13.05.2022 Riga FC II Riga FC II 5-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II cruised past Progress / AFA Olaine 7-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC II as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Riga FC II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.40 goals for Riga FC II and 0.80 for Progress / AFA Olaine.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Riga FC II 7-2 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 70%, draw 13%, Progress / AFA Olaine 17%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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