Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 Riga FC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

Progress / AFA Olaine
1-1 HT 1-1
Riga FC II
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga FC II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
32%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
32%
Away Win
46%
-13.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Progress / AFA Olaine v Riga FC II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 50%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.99/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.68
-34% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
540 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga FC II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Riga FC II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 5.25
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-4 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
07.10.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 11-2 HT 4-1 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
03.06.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
13.05.2022 Riga FC II Riga FC II 5-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine and Riga FC II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Riga FC II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 5.25 for Riga FC II.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga FC II?

Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga FC II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progress / AFA Olaine win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 39%, draw 29%, Riga FC II 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
25 May 2025
18:00 JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts Analysis →