JFK Ventspils 1-1 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 52%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.84/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.27
+82% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
196 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
0W-0D-3L
AWAY JDFS Alberts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
06.07.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
28.10.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-3 HT 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
08.07.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 2-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils and JDFS Alberts couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 2.33 for JDFS Alberts.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?

JFK Ventspils 1-1 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 39%, draw 21%, JDFS Alberts 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JDFS Alberts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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