Debrecen 1-1 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+5.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.5pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +24%
1.10/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.65
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
19.5 Crosses 15.0
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Györi ETO
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2025 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
09.11.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 2-2 HT 1-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
02.08.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-3 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
31.10.2023 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MACK
08.02.2023 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MACK
18.04.2021 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-4 HT 0-2 Debrecen Debrecen MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1-1
AWAY Györi ETO
0.67 xG 3.08
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
167 Passes 364
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen and Györi ETO couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Györi ETO at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Debrecen had 38% of the ball to Györi ETO's 62%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 0.67 to 3.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Debrecen and 0.83 for Györi ETO.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Györi ETO?

Debrecen 1-1 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated an Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 28%, draw 23%, Györi ETO 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Györi ETO), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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