Debrecen 2-2 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 9 Nov 2024

Debrecen
2-2 HT 1-1
Györi ETO
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Debrecen vs Györi ETO Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Györi ETO — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.39/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.28
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.2 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

Debrecen vs Györi ETO Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Györi ETO
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.86 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
404 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-3 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
31.10.2023 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MACK
08.02.2023 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MACK
18.04.2021 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-4 HT 0-2 Debrecen Debrecen MAC2
01.11.2020 Debrecen Debrecen 3-0 HT 2-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
31.05.2015 Debrecen Debrecen 5-0 HT 3-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC

Debrecen 2-2 Györi ETO — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
2-2
AWAY Györi ETO
1.59 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
295 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen and Györi ETO couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Debrecen had 47% of the ball to Györi ETO's 53%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.59 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Debrecen and 0.50 for Györi ETO.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Györi ETO?

Debrecen 2-2 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 41%, draw 24%, Györi ETO 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Debrecen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Over 2.5
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