Ujpest 0-0 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.5pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.77/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.55
+33% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 72%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
16.9 Crosses 23.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
305 Passes 241
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
31.03.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK
03.12.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.08.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
16.04.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
0-0
AWAY Paksi SE
1.48 xG 1.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
427 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and Paksi SE fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ujpest had 59% of the ball to Paksi SE's 41%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.48 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ujpest and 2.00 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Paksi SE?

Ujpest 0-0 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 40%, draw 29%, Paksi SE 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ujpest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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